Yes the figures have intrigued as they fell so dramatically given we had just opened up but I thought the other variables of schools closing, no euros and other elements all helped reduce the numbers. I expected they would go up but that’s not totally clear yet.
What is contradictory to the lower numbers we is that the actual infection rate has gone up. We also have a 10% increase of app pings, even though users are deleting, and data from sewage possibly confirming higher actual infection rates.
The sudden drop last week does also give more weight to the under 18s helping fuel the numbers and keep infections so prevalent. It further reinforces my view that if you want to reduce the pool of infection then you need to vaccinate the 12-18 group. I think they may well do this if things don’t drop enough, once they see further stats from the US and other countries who are vaccinating their young Saying that we also seem to be struggling with 18-24 year olds.
There is something definite about that drop in numbers, and the cynic in me suspects human behaviour around getting tested rather than a sudden immunity.